Plastic Production to Outpace Coal in Driving Climate Change by 2030

Plastics are on track to contribute more climate change emissions than coal plants by 2030, according to a new report by Beyond Plastics at Vermont’s Bennington College. As fossil fuel companies seek to recoup falling profits, they are increasing plastics production which are canceling out greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions gained from the recent closures of 65 percent of the country’s coal-fired power plants.

The New Coal: Plastics and Climate Change report, analyzes never-before-compiled data from ten stages of plastics production, usage and disposal and finds that the US plastics industry is releasing at least 232 million tons of greenhouse gases each year — the equivalent of 116 average-sized coal-fired power plants.

In June, the US Plastics Pact unveiled an aggressive national strategy to ensure all plastic packaging will be reusable, recyclable or compostable by 2025. But in the meantime, conventional plastics production shows no signs of slowing down: In 2020, the plastics industry’s reported emissions increased by 10 million tons of GHGs over 2019. According to the report, construction is currently underway on another 12 plastics facilities, and 15 more are planned — altogether these expansions may emit more than 40 million more tons of GHGs annually by 2025.

“The fossil fuel industry is losing money from its traditional markets of power generation and transportation. They are building new plastics facilities at a staggering clip so they can dump their petrochemicals into plastics. This petrochemical buildout is cancelling out other global efforts to slow climate change,” said Judith Enck, former EPA Regional Administrator and President of Beyond Plastics.

In addition to accelerating climate change, plastic pollutes water, air, soil, wildlife, and health — particularly in low-income communities and communities of color. The US plastics industry reported releasing 114 million tons of greenhouse gases nationwide in 2020. 90% of its reported climate change pollution occurs in just 18 communities where residents earn 28% less than the average US household and are 67% more likely to be people of color. In addition to greenhouse gases, these facilities also emit massive amounts of particulates and other toxic chemicals into the air, threatening residents’ health.

As Congress finalizes federal spending bills and the United Nations prepares to meet for COP26 in Glasgow next month, their failure to acknowledge and act to reduce plastics’ contribution to climate change threatens to undermine global climate-change mitigation efforts. Nearly 1,000 companies have already adopted 1.5°C-aligned, science-based targets — but governments must now do their part, and work to provide clarity for companies that are ready to accelerate their climate action with equally ambitious policies and incentives. Without both sectors working in tandem, the majority of sustainability experts are pessimistic about our ability to avoid the effects of catastrophic climate change.

Climate Change and Population Increase Stimulates the Impending Water Crisis

Improved water management, monitoring, and forecasting are needed in the face of a looming global water crisis, the UN World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and partners said in a report published on Tuesday. 

Floods, droughts, and other water-related hazards increase due to climate change, but at the same time, the number of people experiencing “water stress” continues to rise. 3.6 billion people globally had inadequate access to water for one month per year, and this number is expected to surpass 5 billion by 2050. 

Petteri Taalas, the World Meteorological Organization Secretary-General, says that “Increasing temperatures are resulting in global and regional precipitation changes, leading to shifts in rainfall patterns and agricultural seasons, with a major impact on food security and human health and well-being.” This past year alone has seen extreme, water-related events. Across Asia, extreme rainfall caused massive flooding in Japan, China, Indonesia, Nepal, Pakistan, and India. 

Flood-related disasters have risen by 134% compared to the last two decades, and most deaths and economic losses occurred in Asia. The number and duration of droughts also increased by 29% over the past two decades, and most deaths from droughts were in Africa. 

In the past 20 years, terrestrial water storage - the summation of all water on the land surface and subsurface, including soil moisture, snow, and ice - has dropped at a rate of 1 cm per year. Some of the biggest changes are occurring in Antarctica and Greenland, but many areas are experiencing significant water losses in areas that had traditionally provided water supply. 

Overall, the world is behind schedule on the UN Sustainable Development Goal No. 6 (SDG 6) to ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all. 3.6 billion people lacked safely managed sanitation services, and 2.3 billion people lacked basic hygiene services. Seventy-five countries reported water efficiency levels below average, including 10 with extremely low levels. 

A WMO assessment of 101 countries for which data are available found that:

• There is inadequate interaction among climate services providers and information users in 43% of WMO Members;

• Data is not collected for basic hydrological variables in approximately 40% of them;

• Hydrological data is not made available in 67% of them;

• End-to-end riverine flood forecasting and warning systems are absent or inadequate in 34% of those who provided data;

• End-to-end drought forecasting and warning systems are lacking or inadequate in 54% of them.

China Enters a Major International Climate Agreement

Chinese chemical companies must stop emitting HFC-23, a super-pollutant and an unwanted byproduct of the production of hydrochlorofluorocarbon-22. China and India dominate the global HFC-22 production, with 75% in 2017. China recently began enforcing the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol. The agreement requires China and other countries to stop emitting HFC-23, which is 14,600 times more powerful than carbon dioxide in warming the atmosphere. 

In an address to the U.N. General Assembly, Chinese president Xi Jinping made a new climate commitment not to build any new coal-fired power projects abroad. China will also increase financial support for more green energy projects. The pledge came hours after United States President Joe Biden announced a plan to double financial aid to poorer nations to $11.4 billion by 2024 to help those countries switch to cleaner energy and cope with global warming’s worsening effects.

“We need to accelerate a transition to a green and low-carbon economy,” Xi said in a speech at the U.N. General Assembly. “We will make every effort to meet these goals. China will step up support for other developing countries in developing green and low-carbon energy, and will not build new coal-fired power projects abroad.”

The United Nations first targeted HFC-23 emissions in China in 2006, when a U.N. program known as the Clean Development Mechanism or CDM began incentivizing HCFC-22 producers to destroy their HFC-23 emissions. The program paid HCFC-22 producers in China and other developing countries emission reduction credits, traded with developed countries to meet their emission reduction targets under the Kyoto Protocol. 

Although China has committed to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, ten companies in China built new HFC-22 capacity after April 2015 or are currently building new production facilities. In addition, three companies have also expanded or are in the process of expanding their HCFC-22 production capacity.

However, in another encouraging sign, the Bank of China said that it would no longer provide financing for new coal mining and coal power projects outside of China. 

IPCC Climate Change Report Finds That Major Climate Changes Are Inevitable and Irreversible

The United Nations formed the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to inform national governments about the science and potential impacts of climate change. Humans have heated the planet by roughly 1.1°C since the 19th century, mainly from burning coal, oil, and gas for energy. 

The consequences of global warming can be seen this summer alone, with heatwaves across the US and Canada, floods devastating Germany and China, and wildfires are raging out of control across the world. Unless immediate, rapid, and large-scale action is taken to reduce emissions, the report says, the average global temperature is likely to reach or cross the 1.5°C warming threshold within 20 years. 

Some key points from the IPCC report:

• Global surface temperature was 1.09C higher in the decade between 2011-2020 than between 1850-1900.

• The past five years have been the hottest on record since 1850

• The recent rate of sea level rise has nearly tripled compared with 1901-1971

• Human influence is "very likely" (90%) the main driver of the global retreat of glaciers since the 1990s and the decrease in Arctic sea-ice

• It is "virtually certain" that hot extremes including heat waves have become more frequent and more intense since the 1950s, while cold events have become less frequent and less severe

While this report is more clear and confident about the downsides to warming, the scientists are more hopeful that if we can cut global emissions in half by 2030 and reach net zero by the middle of this century, we can halt and possibly reverse the rise in temperatures. 

Reaching net-zero involves reducing greenhouse gas emissions as much as possible using clean technology, then burying any remaining releases using carbon capture and storage or absorbing them by planting trees.

According to a draft of an upcoming IPCC scientific report, some lifestyle changes could also cut emissions twice the size of Brazil’s current emissions by 2030. Changes include heating and cooling set-point adjustments, reducing appliance use, shifting to human-centered mobility and public transit, reduced air travel, and improved recycling. The draft IPCC found that individual behavior change in isolation cannot reduce greenhouse gas emissions significantly, but individuals can contribute to overcoming barriers and enable climate change mitigations. 

The full second report, set to be released in 2022, will detail how climate change might affect human society, such as coastal cities, farms, or health care systems. A third report, also expected next year, will explore more fully strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and halt global warming.

Arab Region Has the Highest Unemployment Levels in the World

The UN Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) and the International Labour Organization issued a report stating that the Arab region had the highest levels of unemployment worldwide, especially among women and young people. 14.3 million people were already unemployed before the COVID-19 pandemic, but the pandemic has increased pressure on Arab labor markets, causing more than 39 million individuals in hard-hit sectors to have reduced wages/hours of work or being laid off. 

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has further exposed the weaknesses of the education system in the region, at least in terms of infrastructure, access to technology, and teachers’ skills. Even the attempt to shift to e-learning has been a challenge for the Arab region. 

The report also states that skills mismatches in the Arab world likely occur for the following reasons:

• Poor quality of education and irrelevance of educational and training systems to the labor market. According to ESCWA calculations based on data from the World Bank’s Enterprise Survey, almost 40% of firm owners claim that the inadequately educated workforce is an obstacle in the Arab region;

• Lack of career guidance and orientation towards relevant fields of education;

• Individual preferences for working in the public sector and investing in skills suitable for public-sector jobs, irrespective of the skills needed by the private sector;

• Unfair access to education: many individuals cannot afford access to quality education that would enable them to get value-added jobs in the labor market;

• Imperfect information in the labor market: suitable workers and firms have difficulties finding each other; 

• Creation of low-quality jobs requiring low skills and minimal education, influenced by the growth of informal non-productive jobs.

Rola Dashti, the Executive Secretary of ESCWA, stressed the lack of gender equality in Arab labor markets, as women hold few top management positions and have lower shares as business owners. The increase in female labor participation rate was 2.76% between 2000-2020 but was matched with an average growth of 3.4% in female unemployment. 

In Arab, 64% of the total employment is also informal, which means own-account workers (without hired workers) that operate an informal enterprise. Meanwhile, political unrest and conflicts remain a primary obstacle in the region, impairing enterprise performance, affecting investor and consumer confidence, and subsequently limiting investment and consumption.